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Peace and Security at COP29
By Noah Fritzhand and Anna Spear
Introduction
In November, Azerbaijan hosted the 29th Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29). The event’s start was marked by sharp divisions, including disputes over the agenda, temporary breakdowns in negotiations, a boycott by Papua New Guinea, and criticism of Baku’s conference leadership. Key agenda items included increasing climate finance for poor countries, advancing COP28’s pledge to transition away from fossil fuels, and building resilient food systems, all of which featured important security and geopolitical dynamics. In the end, the agreed upon finance goal fell short of what many developing countries called for, decisions on next steps toward a fossil fuel phaseout were punted to COP30, and any progress was largely overshadowed by concerns about Azerbaijan’s COP Presidency.
(more…)Reshaping Multilateralism Episode 5: The Economics of Food Security
Episode 5 of the Nexus25 project’s podcast, Reshaping Multilateralism, is now available, with Dr. Michael Werz, Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress and Senior Advisor at the Munich Security Conference as host and Dr. Maximo Torero Cullen, Chief Economist of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations; and Dr. Vera Songwe, Founder and Chair of Liquidity and Sustainability Facility as guests. They discuss the evolving state of global food security, the intersections between price spikes and national security, and multilateralism’s capacity to address these risks.
(more…)Event Recap: Feeding Resilience: Interagency Coordination and Foresight
By Tom Ellison and Noah Fritzhand
On 22 October, the Center for Climate and Security brought together current and former US government officials, scientists, and researchers to discuss two topics that the Feeding Resilience program has identified as essential to progress at the nexus of food systems, climate change, and US national security: improved US government interagency coordination and better deployment of strategic foresight capabilities. The discussion was held under the Chatham House Rule.
(more…)The Feeding Resilience Plan
Safeguarding US National Security at the Crossroads of Food and Climate Change
Authors: Tom Ellison and Erin Sikorsky
Project Co-leads: Tom Ellison, Patricia Parera, and Erin Sikorsky
Editor: Francesco Femia
Contributors: Siena Cicarelli, John Conger, Brigitte Hugh, and Ethan Wong
Executive Summary
Today, the global food security situation is dire, with a confluence of environmental, economic, and political shocks reversing progress on hunger and pushing more than 250 million people into food insecurity.1 It is increasingly clear that a resilient food system is needed to ensure US national security and global stability. Yet pressure from conflict, economic shocks, demographic trends, water insecurity, geopolitical competition, and climate change complicate efforts to build such resilience.
This report identifies three areas where these dynamics intersect to affect US national security. First, the nexus of food insecurity and conflict threatens US interests, whether from instability over food price spikes, the weaponization of food by adversary states or extremists, or humanitarian crises from lost farming livelihoods. Second, the United States must navigate the geopolitics of food, whether Russia’s weaponization of food insecurity for leverage in Ukraine, China’s lead in agricultural research and development, or maritime conflict risks over dwindling fish stocks. Third, the US national security apparatus must be attuned to the challenges and opportunities in achieving a more resilient food system, ranging from the promise of innovation to prevent food-related security tensions to the instability pitfalls involved in reforming agricultural subsidies.
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