Climate Change in the 2015 World Wide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community

James_R._Clapper_official_portraitOn February 26, 2015, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper presented the World Wide Threat Assessment for the US Intelligence Community Statement for the Record to the Senate Armed Services Committee. A significant portion of the assessment highlighted risks associated with the impact of climate-exacerbated extreme weather events on global food and water security (see below for those excerpts). The assessment also looked at how climate change is a factor in increasing human security risks related to infectious diseases. (more…)

New Research in Context: Syria, Climate Change and Conflict

Digging_irrigation_channels,_Palmyra,_SyriaA new study published in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences by Kelley et al. finds that the extreme drought preceding the conflict in Syria was 2-3 times more likely due to climate change. The study provides an important data point that reinforces the strength of climate model projections for the Middle East, including Syria. While more research is needed to disentangle the complex web of underlying factors behind the conflict, this study strengthens the connection between  climate change and the 2007-2010 drought – a possibility we suggested in our 2012 analysis on the topic, Syria: Climate Change, Drought and Social Unrest. (more…)

New Research: Food Riots, Governance and Climate Change

Protesters marching in Cairo, "Bread, Freedom, Social Justice By, Mariam Soliman from Cairo, Egypt

Protesters marching in Cairo, “Bread, Freedom, Social Justice By, Mariam Soliman from Cairo, Egypt

This is a cross-post from New Security Beat by Cullen Hendrix

*We draw special attention to the conclusion of the article (emphasis added):

Our research suggests that reducing urban biases, like food subsidies, may be good pro-poor policy, given the continued concentration of poverty in the countryside, but it carries political risks. Thus, developing country governments face a tradeoff in pursuing two separate but linked definitions of food security: food security as a component of human security, where pro-poor policies may be the best answer, and food security as a component of national security, where urban interests seem the most pressing.


The Climate Security 101 Project: An Online Clearinghouse for Climate Security Questions

ClimateSecurity101_LOGORELEASE: The Center for Climate and Security Announces “Climate Security 101”: An Online Clearinghouse for All Your Climate Security Questions

Washington, D.C. — The Center for Climate and Security (CCS), a policy institute with an Advisory Board of retired senior military officers and national security experts, is pleased to announce its newest project: Climate Security 101 ( Climate Security 101 is an online clearinghouse of all the latest reports and policy documents on the intersection of climate change and national, international and human security. It is also an introduction to some of the most frequently asked questions, including: Is climate change a security issue? Will climate change cause war? Why do militaries care about climate change? Where is climate change the biggest threat to security? and How can we address the security risks of climate change? (more…)

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