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The Elephant in the Climate Room: Financing Sustainable Security and Supporting Future-Fit Systems

By Siena Cicarelli, Erin Sikorsky and Michael Werz

Every year, leaders of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank – as well as key stakeholders from civil society, the private sector and regional financial bodies – gather to assess the landscape of international development finance. This year, they will do so against the backdrop of a complex geopolitical landscape, where one of the most consequential election years in human history, continued conflict in Ukraine and Gaza, and increasingly frequent extreme weather events have divided multilateral bodies and strained the funding landscape. 

While this year’s agenda will cover everything from water security to streamlining taxation, one key challenge will dominate discussions: the staggering costs of the green transition and how these relatively inflexible financial institutions can evolve to support global climate adaptation, mitigation and resilience building – particularly in fragile, conflict-affected and violent situations (FCV). As seen at 28th UN climate conference (COP28) and the 2024 World Bank Fragility Forum, most stakeholders recognize that existing efforts are falling short and are eager to move from admiring the problem to identifying tangible steps and best practices needed to address this challenge. 

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CCS Endorses COP28 Declaration On Climate, Relief, Recovery And Peace

The Center for Climate and Security (CCS), an institute of the Council on Strategic Risks, is proud to endorse the urgent call to action embodied in the COP28 Declaration On Climate, Relief, Recovery And Peace, and welcomes the COP’s inclusion of a dedicated day on the topic for the first time. This Declaration reflects inputs and endorsements from a wide range of governmental and non-governmental actors across the climate, environment, development, humanitarian, and peace and security sectors. This demonstrates a growing recognition of the reality that climate change poses a multifaceted threat to peace and stability, requiring an integrated response across these sectors.

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New Journal Article: Climate Change Has Awakened the Polar Dragon

By John Conger & Erin Sikorsky

The inaugural edition of the Journal of Arctic and Climate Security Studies, a new publication from the Ted Stevens Center for Arctic Security Studies, features the following article from CCS leadership:

Climate Change Has Awakened the Polar Dragon

By John Conger & Erin Sikorsky

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A First Look at Typhoon Doksuri: China’s Climate Security Vulnerabilities

By Erin Sikorsky

Last year, the Center for Climate and Security released China’s Climate Security Vulnerabilities, a report that outlined the ways in which climate hazards may shape the country’s stability and security going forward. The extreme weather events in China during the past few months provide a case study of the key dynamics identified in the paper, including risks to Chinese food security and domestic stability, as well as the role of the military in responding to such hazards. One event in particular, Typhoon Doksuri’s landfall in Fujian Province and the subsequent flooding it caused as it traveled north, illustrated such vulnerabilities with immediate and heavy impact. But the crisis caused by Doksuri provides an opening for the United States to engage with the Chinese government on climate and food security issues, as well. 

Beginning in late July, Typhoon Doksuri and its remnants brought torrential rains which flooded the Chinese capital Beijing and other areas in the northeast. By one measure, the amount of rain that fell in a 5 day period in the Beijing region–29.3 inches–was the “most ever recorded since recordkeeping began during the Qing dynasty in 1883.” The water displaced millions and destroyed thousands of homes and hectares of farmland. Thousands of troops from the Chinese People’s Armed Police (PAP) and People’s Liberation Army (PLA) have deployed in response, providing rescue and evacuation assistance, distributing emergency supplies, and conducting a range of other activities. 

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