Executive Summary

This study examines how the intersection of climate, geopolitical, and security threats can intensify vulnerabilities surrounding critical chokepoints in the global food trade system, and posits that these converging risks not only threaten global food security but also drive systemic threats to US national security. A strategic foresight approach is used to examine plausible future scenarios for global food trade and explore potential chokepoint disruptions and their cascading risks. The analysis concludes that maintaining secure maritime food trade is vital to US national security and provides recommendations to mitigate trade disruption and promote food security.