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Munich Security Report: Few Doubts on Climate Impacts to International Security

Mattis_Munich 2017

Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis, Munich Security Conference, Feb. 17, 2017. (DOD photo by U.S. Air Force Tech. Sgt. Brigitte N. Brantley)

The Munich Security Conference is a high-level forum of senior leaders from across security community that get together in Munich to discuss, well, security policy. It is often attended by defense and foreign ministers or their deputies, military professionals of all stripes, members of legislative bodies with security mandates, security think tanks, and other organizations that are concerned about national and international security.

The next one will be held from February 16-18. In advance of that, the conference organizers at the Munich Security Conference Foundation have released the Munich Security Report 2018. (more…)

A Responsibility to Prepare: Governing in an Age of Unprecedented Risk and Foresight

UN_security_council_2005Report summary: The world in the 21st century is characterized by both unprecedented risk and unprecedented foresight. Climate change, population shifts and cyber-threats are rapidly increasing the scale and complexity of risks to international security, while technological developments are increasing our capacity to foresee those risks. This world of high consequence risks, which can be better modeled and anticipated than in the past, underscores a clear responsibility for the international community: A “Responsibility to Prepare.” This responsibility, which builds on hard-won lessons of the Responsibility to Protect (R2P) framework for preventing and responding to mass atrocities, requires a reform of existing governance institutions to ensure that critical, nontraditional risks to international security, such as climate change, are anticipated, analyzed and addressed systematically, robustly and rapidly by intergovernmental security institutions and the security establishments of nations that participate in that system. For more, see the Responsibility to Prepare page, including the full report.

Release: Experts Identify 12 Major Epicenters of Climate Risks to International Security

EpicentersReportCoverRelease: Experts Identify 12 Major Epicenters of Climate-Related Risks to International Security

Oxford, UK, 9 June 2017 — Security experts have identified 12 key climatic risks to international security that may shape the geostrategic landscape of the 21st century. These 12 risks are explored in a multi-author volume by the Center for Climate and Security and partners titled Epicenters of Climate and Security: The New Geostrategic Landscape of the Anthropocene, released Friday at the Fourth Annual Deserts Conference at Oxford University. In the wake of extraordinary upheaval in the international effort to address climate change, the report presents a compelling case for why tackling these climate and security “epicenters” – major categories of climate-driven risks to international security – should be a top priority for governments and institutions around the world.

“Any one of the climate and security epicenters can be disruptive,” said Caitlin Werrell, Co-President of the Center for Climate and Security and editor of the report. “Taken together, however, these epicenters can present a serious challenge to international security as we understand it.” (more…)

Climate Security at the Munich Security Conference

Munich_skylineIn case you missed it, there was an important security conference in Munich this weekend: the appropriately-named “Munich Security Conference.”  There were a lot of senior leaders of the international security community in attendance, and climate security was on the program. In fact, it seems to be the first year that climate security, rather than resource, energy or environmental security, was explicitly incorporated into the title and substance of a breakout session at the conference.  Climate security risks also made appearances throughout several headline speeches. (more…)

ASP’s Global Security Defense Index on Climate Change: Preliminary Results

U.S._Unified_Command_Plan_Map_2011-04-06Under the direction of Andrew Holland and Xander Vagg, the American Security Project (ASP) has released preliminary results from what will most certainly be an excellent and invaluable resource: “The Global Security Defense Index on Climate Change.” The Index “analyzes how governments around the world and their militaries plan for and anticipate the strategic threats of climate change.” According to the authors: (more…)

The Center on Climate Change and Instability in Africa

The International Relations and Security Network’s “Security Watch” just published an interesting piece on connections between climate change and instability in Africa. The article includes extended quotes from us here at the Center for Climate and Security, as well as notable experts Dr. Joshua Busby of UT Austin, and David Waskow at Oxfam America. Worth a look.

Andrew Holland and Cleo Paskal on the National Security Implications of Climate Change

The American Security Project’s Andrew Holland and Chatham House’s Cleo Paskal recently had an interesting and lively discussion on the national security implications of climate change, including direct impacts on DoD infrastructure and indirect impacts to the international security landscape. On a related note, you may also want to check out ASP’s interactive state-by-state assessment of projected climate change impacts in the United States, which includes estimates on the costs of climate change to state infrastructures and economies.