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Nicholas Stern: I underestimated the risks

Nicholas_SternThe Guardian reported on Saturday that Nicholas Stern, who authored a highly respected and influential and review on climate change commissioned by the UK government in 2006, has stated that he underestimated the pace of climatic change, and the associated risks. From the article:

“Looking back, I underestimated the risks. The planet and the atmosphere seem to be absorbing less carbon than we expected, and emissions are rising pretty strongly. Some of the effects are coming through more quickly than we thought then.”

The Stern review, published in 2006, pointed to a 75% chance that global temperatures would rise by between two and three degrees above the long-term average; he now believes we are “on track for something like four “. Had he known the way the situation would evolve, he says, “I think I would have been a bit more blunt. I would have been much more strong about the risks of a four- or five-degree rise.”


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